Many analysts believe that Jagan, as he is popularly known, will sweep the polls for the Andhra Pradesh assembly that will be held alongside the Lok Sabha elections in 2014. "I don't want to go overboard. But it's clear that he will win a simple majority," says a special chief secretary to the Andhra Pradesh government. The expectation is that Jagan's party, the YSR Congress, will win something like 20-22 Lok Sabha seats out of the 42 in the state in 2014. That will make Jagan, a kingmaker at the Centre considering that the 2014 election is likely to throw up a fractured mandate with the support of every MP important for making the government. So strong is the expectation that Jagan will sit on the chief ministerial gaddi that MLAs from the ruling Congress and even the opposition Telugu Desam party (TDP) continue to flock to him.
Those who are in the know of things are aware that many ruling Congress party MLAs and even ministers have pushed their sons, daughters or brothers to the YSR Congress in an effort to hedge their bets. This is even as Jagan continues to have a steady stream of visitors to jail, many probably seeking a party ticket for the next elections.
"The Jagan fever has reduced over the last one year that he has been in jail but is still enough to get him to power," admits a minister in the present Andhra Pradesh government. This is why analysts aver that the powers that be might push for Jagan's conviction in one of the many cases filed against him. This will render Jagan ineligible to contest elections.
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